Pride Goeth Before the Fall? – A Performance Review of 2021

It’s been awhile since completing a review of market calls made here at  As my general knowledge of market inter-workings and crowd psychology has refined over the past several years increasing in nuance and depth, now’s as good a time as ever.

Let’s start with accuracy percentage and a list of the articles with basic details.  Then I’ll provide a quick, detailed breakdown of each call afterwards down below.  We’ll work backwards from the most current post, skipping 2 posts where I don’t make any directional calls or predictions.

Nine of the 11 asset forecasts between December 2020 and December 2021 were correct, for an accuracy rate of 82%.  Stellar by any definition, especially for a free blog written in spare time.  Each forecast was actionable via options, futures, the underlying asset, or simply raising cash.


1. Trading Brazil – 12/12/2021:  The Brazilian Real would strengthen against the US Dollar and Brazilian stocks were about to be re-rated higher. (CORRECT)

2. Options Markets Muting Signals – 11/20/2021:  Trapdoor underneath stock markets and potential for a large selloff in the near future. (CORRECT)

3. Insiders, Metaverse, and Options – 11/16/2021:  Options usage too extreme; quick & shallow selloff felt very close. (CORRECT)

4. I Can’t Fight This Feeling – 10/24/2021:  Commodities sentiment extreme and due for a selloff led by oil with a rise in the US Dollar. (CORRECT)

5. If Everybody’s Thinking Alike, then… – 9/13/2021:  Technically, I stated the cannabis sector looked as if it might be basing for a potential up-move.  I didn’t actually make a directional call, but I’ll still own it. Same goes for EWZ, for which I actually did make a directional call 3 months later. (WRONG)

6. Volatility Interpretation – 9/1/2021:  Volatility was about to show its face in stock markets. (CORRECT)

7. I Don’t Know Why I Talk About Crypto in a Public Setting – 8/30/2021:  Ethereum on the verge of another run upwards. (CORRECT)

8. The Best Part of Waking Up – 7/22/2021:  A correction in coffee was imminent. (CORRECT)

9. Bitcoin – A Quick Technical Read – 7/16/2021:  I thought BTC had one more puke-dip into the $20k range, anywhere between $21k and $29k.  Major whiff.  My article actually bottom-ticked that particular correction before BTC went on to return over 100% within 4 months. (WRONG)

10. Oil Taking Its Breather…Finally – 7/7/2021:  Oil correction had begun (not obvious yet) and XLE would sell off accordingly. (CORRECT)

11.  Beware the Secular Trend’s Short-term Counter Move – 12/28/2020:  The Euro/USD pair had reached an extreme point and a USD rally looked primed, which would coincide with potential fear-events in the equity markets. (CORRECT)


So that’s the quick and dirty.  Keep reading below for a bit more detail and to view the charts better illustrating each forecast.  Each chart will have a yellow circle denoting the date the article was published.

Trading Brazil:

EWZ Performance

Calls on EWZ were the chosen expression for this trade.  Pre-tax return was 100% in less than 2 months.  While everyone has been focused on energy, I focused on an EM component that looked ripe to provide a kickstart to 2022 trading.

Brazilian Real Strenghening Against the USD

Real strengthening vs the USD.  Any reader could’ve bet futures here on the currency pair for a tidy profit.

Options Markets Muting Signals:

NASDAQ Performance

This particular article actually top-ticked the NASDAQ Composite, but I didn’t go short here.  Hindsight being what it is, I should have, but instead I simply raised cash levels for the opportunities that are currently availing themselves.

S&P 500 Performance

My focus was on the NASDAQ in this article however one has to include the S&P 500 if one is going to comment on general equity markets.  No top-tick as there was a bit more demand for the S&P 500, but within a matter of weeks, the trapdoor opened for this index, too.

Insiders, Metaverse, and Options

SPX Performance Turkey Day

You could almost smell the move coming, like a turkey basting for hours.  Then, Black Friday delivered a little fear for the unprepared.  No trade here as raising cash was the strategy, and the ensuing rallies assisted with that process.  Going short up until the past few months was a dangerous endeavor and understanding option flows was and is critical.

I Can’t Fight This Feeling

DBC Performance

That little 11% jaunt downward in the underlying ETF over the next month resulted in a 135% pre-tax return on simple Put purchases.  Of course, energy as a sector is a different beast entirely now, and along with inflation, the Russia/Ukraine conflict has put commodities front and center of the financial space again.

USD Performance

The US Dollar followed it’s typical anti-correlation to commodities by rising.  Since that initial run upwards, it has chopped in this uncertain environment.  I suspect the ultimate, long-term path is downwards for the USD, but that’s a philosophical discussion for another time.

If Everybody’s Thinking Alike, Then…

MJ Performance

Ugh, what else needs to be said?  This one is ugly.  To reiterate, I did not actually make a directional call or bet here.  I simply thought that the bear market in cannabis may be reaching a nadir.  But investors and speculators had other ideas as the market pounded this ETF for an additional 50% loss subsequent to publishing the article.

Volatility Interpretation

VIX Performance

The article literally bottom-ticked the VIX.  Unfortunately, I didn’t directly trade Vol here.  I used the ensuing volatility to pyramid some positions in the long portfolios.

I Don’t Know Why I Talk About Crypto in a Public Setting

ETH Performance

Those percentages in the chart above were from the publishing date of the article (yellow circle).  The actual moves were,  20% as annotated for the first ascent, then a quick 50% downdraft followed by a 75% spike.  If you ignored ETH in 2021, or crypto period, then you missed some of the best trading opportunities of the year.

The Best Part of Waking Up

Coffee Performance

Coffee was the gift that kept on giving for about 4 weeks in late July through late August, before squeezing out of an old school pennant to what seems like non-stop upside.  The initial trade was simple Puts on the JO ETF for a 40% pre-tax return in a week.  Then I was able to scalp 20% in a week out of JO with some Calls before finally squeezing the last bit of Put juice for 10% in a week before THE breakout in coffee.

Subsequent to those trades, I did overestimate the extreme in buying-sentiment and underestimate the impact of the freeze in Brazilian crops.  Consequently, I gave back a bit of the profit with additional Puts and failed to capitalize on the ensuing multi-month rally as a result of my bias.  All additional lessons at a fair tuition price.

Bitcoin – A Quick Technical Read

BTC Performance

I darn near bottom-ticked BTC with this particular forecast.  So wrong!  As BTC goes, so goes the crypto markets so it wasn’t long before I was pursuing the other opportunity as noted above.  As has been said countless times by countless players, trading is all about managing risk (control losses & maximize gains).

Oil Taking Its Breather…Finally

WTIC Performance

Oil (West Texas Intermediate) was overdone.  I top-ticked the high in July on the day of publishing and was fortunate to estimate an unsurprising 20% sell off in the commodity.

XLE Performance

I favored Puts on the XLE as the expression for this trade and the market rewarded me with a 100% pre-tax return in under 8 weeks.

Beware the Secular Trend’s Potential Short-term Counter Move

USD Performance

I published this article in the midst of what felt like virtually everyone expecting the “obvious” demise of the USD.  The dollar’s imminent demise down into the $80’s has since proven to be fallacious logic.  Its haven status as the world’s reserve currency has kept it afloat and demand will probably keep it there for some time until internal and external geopolitical/economic events shift perceptions and capital flows.

Euro Performance

Once again, the anti-correlated pairing could’ve provided currency traders with an exceptional opportunity.  Admittedly, I failed to take advantage of this potential trade with a currency pair expression.

S&P 500 Performance

What I did do was expect more intense volatility.  As such, I purchased hedges which ended up costing me insurance premiums as the S&P 500 simply chopped for a month before continuing onward and upward.  Sure, I was correct about some volatility but wrong about the amplitude.  Still though, I contend that the price paid for peace of mind was worth it.

It’s my sincerest hope that if you’ve read this full performance-review that my skills and experience are apparent.  I’m not some wannabe, greenhorn daytrader posing as a professional.  Although I mostly showcase my technical analysis skills here at the site, I’ve honed my fundamental analysis skills for all asset classes and sectors.   Over the last 20 years, I’ve poured my heart and soul into building an amalgamated skill set around a professional-level understanding of investing, finance, banking, currencies, economics, accounting, business operations, sales, geopolitics, crowd psychology of markets, leading/managing/coaching, and asset management.

Now I’d like to test those skills in the appropriate arena.  If you’re here just to have a read, I hope you’ve enjoyed.  I’ll continue to intermittently share actionable thoughts.  But if any readers from the professional, financial space are interested in how I can benefit their organization, please don’t hesitate to reach out.  Email address is listed at the menu button in the upper-right of the screen.  My LinkedIn profile can be accessed at the About page by clicking the hamburger in the upper-left of the screen.

Here’s to a fruitful 2022 for any and all readers of

Trading Brazil

                                Brazilian Chica Con Dinero

Putting the trade on in September, when I wrote about it, just didn’t feel right but I’ve continued to observe the price action.  I think we have a tradeable set-up now in Brazil.  Since topping out in late June, it’s down 33%.  The commodity euphoria has finally waned a bit, or rather other asset classes have moved to the forefront of investor minds (mainly tech again for now).  Couple this with a potential strengthening of the Real against the USD and we have a chance for the stock prices of Brazil’s largest companies to be re-rated in the short-term.

Observe the correlation for EWZ (green) price spikes vs the USD (light blue) weakening against the Real.


This chart alone looks like a good enough set-up to allocate capital, but the Timing by TradeSmith forecast (purple line) just below shows there’s potential room for a bit more consolidation before an up-move.  But there is a definitive, tight correlation to the forecast line and actual ETF performance.  This might be the most successful forecast by TradeSmith’s software that I’ve analyzed.


What that means for our trade is that we need to purchase a strike far enough out (theta) to give the hypothesis time to play out.  Volatility in this ETF is sharp.  Observe the wavy action, surfable swells if you will, of rallies and drawdowns in the chart.  It’s readily obvious.

Roughly half of the ETF is positioned in just 5 stocks, which are Vale (iron/coal/base metals), Petrobras (oil), Itau Unibanco (banking), Bank Bradesco (banking/insurance), and Ambev (beer).  I don’t need to know their prospects to determine if the set-up is worth a trade as potential movement in the Real can improve investor perceptions of them as EM investments.

In September, I thought that $34 might be a potential bottom but it was too early.  Still though, $34 represents an important price point.  Only now it is resistance instead of support.  $31.50 should be the first line of resistance, but once broken, it looks as if it could easily run up to $34.

EWZ Res-Supp 2

The indicator that I probably put the most stock in is also at a favorable place for an EWZ rally as it just crossed over its oscillator.  I’ve highlighted in cyan each crossover occurrence over the last few years.  Positive price action tends to confirm.

As I’ve mentioned countless times, I prefer weekly charts to guide my trading theses.  But for you daily enthusiasts, EWZ is displaying a nice clean breakout to recover it’s 50-day SMA.  Based on my analysis, the 200-day should be next.  Observe:

EWZ Daily

In any event, I suspect there are multiple opportunities amongst “emerging” markets such as Brazil as a result of potential weakness on the horizon for the USD.  S. Korea is showing similar action as observed in the EWY.

So watch the US dollar and place your bets accordingly on some international holiday speculations!

Oil Taking Its Breather…Finally

For traders who’ve been waiting oh so patiently, it genuinely appears an oil sell-off has begun.  Discretionary trading requires sound, subjective judgement which comes through diligent research and a practiced  hand.  Do I have any of that?  It’s certainly questionable, but you’re here reading so let’s get to the squiggly lines.

There’s a massive confluence of moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and indicators on a weekly chart signaling a sell-off could have some legs, at least temporarily.  Have a look at the monthly chart of West Texas Intermediate (LC).  That horizontal yellow line represents a very good stopping point should momentum build to the downside as H1 P&L’s get protected.


A 20% correction in oil would not surprise me.  This coincides with action and positioning in the US dollar.  For event-traders, OPEC+ activity has definitely raised hackles so I suspect stops have been pulled up pretty tightly which can exacerbate a move to the downside.

On the monthly chart above, since the bottom of that negative-price move in April 2020, hi-to-lo oil is up 1000% in 15 months.  It’s up 350% using closing prices, and hell, it’s up 135% since November.

We did get a 15% correction starting in March that began a little consolidation period from which oil has recently broken out.


I suspect that June breakout drew in a bit of newer capital that failed to position earlier and could be chasing in addition to pyramiding by existing position holders.  Feels like a false breakout from that wedge.  Commodities across the complex have all been taking breaks, but not the King of Commodities.  Consolidation yes, but no true breaks.

I’m of the persuasion that a commodity super bull has legitimately begun.  But that thesis ran so white hot with nary a breather, that now it’s time for the granddaddy of the commodity complex to kick up its legs for a minute.  Any multitude of ways to go short.

One of the methods I like is Puts on the XLE.  Vast liquidity with excess positioning will allow for a potent ROI on a well-timed swing.


That horizontal yellow line on the weekly XLE chart also represents another good confluence of moving averages, bands, volume@price, etc.  Use any spread methodology desired within the options complex, but $45 looks like as good a point as any for a possible bottom and a consolidation to begin.

As usual, I’m handicapping here.  This is a personal bet just for me and no others using my own proprietary methodologies that have consistently given me an edge.  Risk management is always the key to a successful trade.  I use a mix of technicals, fundamentals, and anecdotals that all get swirled around the noggin until the organic computer kicks out a trade suggestion just for me.  Then I write about it on a site nobody reads anyways to help me flesh out and think about the theses a bit more.

If you’re somehow reading this content, it’s not a trade or investment recommendation.  I’m just thinking out loud.

Commodities and stocks have just been on a tear in 2021.  Performance as such for both the S&P 500 and BCOM has occurred a handful of other times in financial history.  It tended not to bode too well for commodities over the next couple of months.  Observe the following chart  from SentimenTrader.


Sample size not withstanding, with oil and natty combined being the largest component of the BCOM, a short thesis just might profit.

Look For The Wick

I have come to utilize charting techniques less and less as their ability to help handicap asset price movements continues to wither away.

You’re either trading algorithmically in front of the market or you’re a trading loser.  Every single chart pattern and set of indicators in every conceivable combination has already been mathematically expressed by people smarter than technical analysts, and easy profits have been completely arbitraged out of the market from visual chart cues.

There will always be pockets of sheer luck.  There are always exceptions.  But earning consistent profits on price/indicator pictures…get real.

I have come to rely more and more on fundamental analysis, experience (see “gut”), and semi-quantitative tools to manage the risks of trading capital.  Like a degenerate heroine addict, I still chart.  I’ll never give it up, but it’s just another input.  Mostly noise.  Sometimes valued signal.

Despite all that, here’s one visual cue I think a lot of professionals are probably waiting for and that is a second long-stem on the S&P 500.  It could potentially indicate that risk appetites have returned.  If the HFTs see this then we could see a “schooling” move upward, like fish or a flock of birds, as the programs feed on each other’s momentum calls.

Take a look to better understand.  We are looking for a 2% to 3% wick below the weekly closing price.  That’s it.

Everybody's Waiting for a Stem - SPX (3-28-2018)

That might be all it takes to re-engage risk taking.  Not without increased volatility, of course, because liquidity is draining and conditions are tightening.

Market Timing – Trades You Can Apply Yourself

Below I will outline what I feel are some high-probability set-ups for a handful of swing trades. At the very least, maybe you’ll find it fun or interesting if you’re not up for the risk. In the beginning of the year and for the next several months subsequent, my timing skills became out of whack. This is normal as nobody is right all the time. I rely on my ability to “read the tape.” That’s one of my edges…allegedly. Unfortunately, my “tape reading” ability cycles up and down. But every now and again I can get in a zone where I feel like I’m seeing market moves ahead of time, and consequently, make a series of successful trades in a row. Since the return of volatility to the markets back at the end of May, I have been able to capitalize in one of those zones. That volatility has put my technical analysis skills back in play. Keep in mind that I’m not really using traditional chart reading methods where I look for a “flag” in a “rising bear wedge” to determine an intermediate trend change but the overall bull trend remains intact as long as the “Hindenburg Omen” doesn’t offset the “Golden Cross” which is contingent upon the patterns occurring on 5-minute and 60-minute charts but not a daily or a weekly chart. As I’ve relayed before, that kind of stuff can provide value but pretty much gets nullified by skilled systematic traders and the sheer volume of high-frequency-traders in the markets. However, this volatility does allow for my simple use of technical analysis combined with pure “tape reading” to allow for some wins.

Recall the e-mail sent in May, “Step Right Up and Grab Your Short Opportunity,” and the Toyota recommendation. Observe the results in the original chart(5/13) and the follow-up chart(6/26):


And by the way that trade is still open for profit potential on a farther-out timescale. The set-up looked like a mini-Eiffel Tower and I think $105 is still in play. I may re-open the trade as Toyota’s action has been weak in light of the little bounce back in the markets. Now you may be thinking so what. Nice luck, clown. Or even the sun shines on a dog’s rear end, but keep in mind I closed similar trades for profit nailing the turn in the XHB(housing), XLU(utilities), and INTC after it’s jump to $25. Plus, I have other Put option trades open. I also stated in the KSU presentation that a takedown would offer a better entry point for that particular equity when it was priced at $118 at the time I posted the presentation. It’s low since was $102, but I think there’s even more room to correct. But the fun doesn’t end there as there is a tremendous amount of fear still residing in the market. It’s almost palpable and it calls to traders. There has been commentary that the big one is here. This is the beginning of the huge takedown, like in 2000 or 2007, with enormous sell-offs in bonds and stock markets. I disagree. I see the current situation as a natural correction off the irrational 6-month exuberance that existed from the beginning of the year to June. I can’t really speak for the debt markets, but for the stock markets we could see a bounce back to new highs from here and then a stronger, scarier takedown somewhere in the late-July through mid-September range. It’s more probable that we chop along moving sideways through the Summer with some up and down bouncing and then finish out the year strong as animal spirits recover and taper talk dies down with renewed vigor behind the rhetoric of quantitative easing. Now just because I’m an equities guy doesn’t mean I don’t understand the debt markets. It’s just not my primary field of play for profit. What I do think though is that the BIG, GIANT crash in bonds is not on us yet. That period for bonds will shock the markets as the derivatives and debts of the world come together for the big one. No, what I think the correction in bond prices and spike in yields are doing is conveying the first message that judgment day is coming, so it’s time to start worrying but keep partying for now. As always, who friggin knows?

So getting back to the potential money makers I referred to earlier…the first one is on the Aussie dollar. The whole world is short the Aussie dollar. The basic macroeconomic rationale is that the Australian economy is centered solely on commodities and the sale of those commodities to China. With the whole commodity complex coming down, then the Australian currency is due for a dive. And dived it has due to speculators, bond vigilante’s, or the boogeyman. The fact of the matter is that the Australian economy, although possibly overheating, has not blown up yet nor has their housing market yet, either. The central bank of Australia has been raising rates as opposed to lowering, although I suspect that should change in the near future. And the bottom line is that when the whole world agrees on a trade, you simply have to go contrarian. Even if the macroeconomic rationale is correct, there’s still that little matter of timing. Recall gold and gold shares for proof of that. Anyways, observe the following weekly and daily charts of FXA, which as you should know from previous market notes, is an ETF proxy for the Aussie currency.


The hedge funds, family offices, and wealth managers can borrow in a stronger or weaker currencies and short or go long another. That’s a carry trade done on margin. It can blow up spectacularly when done in things like borrowing Yen on margin to buy US safe, dividend paying stocks. It works till it doesn’t and then it can blow up fantastically, which is what we have seen this month. Obviously, I’m not operating on that level. Our trade is the September Calls at a $98 strike on the FXA. These options tend to trade with a little bit wider spreads of around $0.10 despite adequate liquidity, so as of 6/26 each Call was trading between $0.40 and $0.50. Do not put more than 2% of your trading capital at stake in the trade. I use a very wider stop-loss generally on option trades. Sometimes you gotta give a thesis time to marinate and that’s what going far enough out with a wide stop-loss allows. Not to get too remedial or insult your intelligence, but let’s do a quick example of what that looks like. Hypothetically you have $10K to trade and a 50% stop loss. That means you’re willing to risk $200, which means that you’d place $400 into the trade if you’re using the 50% stop loss. The resistance point of $98 is a pre-planned sell price, however feel free to liquidate earlier if you’re satisfied with the profits earned…after accounting for transaction fees of course. Full disclosure, I’ve already put the trade in play.

The second trade is in emerging markets. I spend hours every day scouring the web researching various markets and gathering usable intelligence that will allow for a potentially profitable trade set-up. One of the things of I’ve noticed over the last week or so is all the overwhelming negative sentiment on emerging markets. Once again, the whole world is short emerging markets. Literally, all I read are negatives on Brazil, China, India, and the rest of the developing countries and how the US is so strong, while the emerging market investment will destroy your portfolio. As I stated up above, when the whole world is in on a trade then you really do have to go contrarian. Look at the emerging market ETF, EEM. It has been destroyed in the last 4 weeks and with a serious gap-down just last week. In the daily chart we have two 2 beautiful set-ups that I love to see:  1. confirmation of the beginning of a snap-back, and  2. a gap-down that appears as if it will be covered as part of the snap-back. The weekly shows the snap-back consistency subsequent to a parabolic sell-off. Observe the following charts.


I often comment on snap-backs when it comes to trading and that’s because I’m always looking for extremes. It’s one of the easiest things to look for in trading set-ups. Others call it mean reversion, although that’s not always the case as the reversion move may not necessarily move back all the way to the mathematical mean, but you get the point. Regardless, I generalize these set-ups as snap-backs and they’re far and away my favorite set-ups to consistently trade. They can be executed up or down. It doesn’t matter. The only real difference is that downside moves are much more explosive than upside moves, so Put option purchases are a touch more delicate than Call purchases. The trade here is the August Calls at a $39 strike for EEM. Each Call is trading at a fair $0.75 despite the resistance point only being a dollar away. Waiting for the mini-gap will present an even better price point. Liquidate at $39 to be safe or earlier if you’re already satisfied with the profit level. The sentiment against EEM is definitely extreme as the top holdings in the ETF are companies like:  1. OAO Gazprom – Russia’s largest natural gas producer and thus Europe’s largest supplier  2. China Mobil – China’s largest mobile carrier  3. Samsung – Largest company in S. Korea and one of the largest consumer electronics companies in the world  4. America Movil – Mexico’s largest telecommunications company, etc. These aren’t exactly the kinds of companies that are about to become insolvent. Full disclosure, I have not put the play in motion yet as I am waiting to allocate once that mini gap is filled.

The third and final trade is a golden oldie. The sell-offs in the GLD on 6/20 and 6/26 also present my two favorite set-ups again. We have gap-downs and we have an extreme shift in the trend. By observing similar action in April, we can see the potential of the snap-back here in June. Understand I’m not calling for a secular trend change here in gold. I’m not saying go all-in gold because the correction is over. I’m just seeing a great set-up that deserves a short-term capital allocation. Observe the first chart, which is a daily chart of GLD. The second chart is of the COMEX paper gold. Using any technical analysis on gold is dangerous due to the gross manipulation, however trading is trading and greed is greed and extremes are extremes. These set-ups look compelling.


I had shared with a colleague that I had purchased Calls for September, but was mistaken. The trade is for the August Calls at a $130 strike on GLD. These Calls got killed on 6/26 and could have been purchased for $0.85 as of the close, which is when I purchased my allotment. I suspect the trade will be ready for liquidation at $125, but if paper gold is running kind of hot off of the snap-back then there is the potential for $130, in which case the option should be liquidated. It is probable by that point that the takedown will resume in paper gold as $1,200 has not been hit yet and potentially slightly below $1,200, just to run all the stops set at $1,200 for easy profit.

There are some things to keep in mind when considering dipping your toes in. One is that it’s not as hard as it looks. Just be disciplined. Don’t over allocate and get out if the play moves against you. The second thing is that these moves aren’t for waiting on. The FXA and GLD options are for immediate purchase, so if you dilly dally and then decide you want to try, you’ll lose. The EEM is only a wait until the mini gap is covered which should happen the next day or two and then I’m going in. The third thing to consider is hedging. It’s not important to try to think outside of your realm of expertise and hedge each of these bets directly. For instance, you don’t need to short the dollar while buying Calls on GLD or buying E-mini Calls on the S&P 500 while you short the Aussie dollar. Hedge funds have expert analysts, with PhD’s, in combination with sophisticated software to determine correlations and anti-correlations between every asset class in the world and then calculate optimal statistical probabilities of a trade. We don’t have those resources. Like I stated in the previous note, think of your 401K’s and safely allocated retirement funds as your hedges to the risk you take on with options trades. It’s that simple.

I’m assuming that none of you will try these and I knew that before penned this note. I don’t care what the universities & the mutual fund marketers communicate about asset allocation and thinking of the long term. Markets ain’t efficient and short-term profit opportunities consistently present themselves. I enjoy deep-dive analysis on companies for long-term potential as much as the next value investor. That is also fun for me…and profitable. It’s just that swing trading is more fun and presents profits a lot more quickly, but of course the danger factor is amplified exponentially. At the very least, bookmark the charts from and the ticker profiles from Yahoo Finance for the next couple weeks to couple of months to see how these play out…just for laughs.

Lastly, remember these are simple option trade set-up’s of the purchase of a Put or Call. You can facilitate more complex option trades around the analysis, but that’s not what I share here. If you have the requisite skill set then you’re covered.

Read, Read, and Read some more. Good luck out there.